Two Perspectives on A123, Solar's Strong Showing in Q1: The Week In Cleantech: 6-15-2012
June 11: A trade complaint may filed against Chinese solar
manufacturers in the EU
TK: The EU is still a much larger market than the US, which already
has countervailing duties. China's largest panel makers, will
likely shift their focus to China's domestic market while boosting
production. More
here.June 12: A123 (AONE)
announces battery new technology
TK: A123 (NASD:AONE)
says their new Nanophosphate EXT technology will allows lithium
ion batteries to operate at extreme temperatures, eliminating the
need for liquid cooling systems in EVs, and reducing the cost of
an EV by $600. The greater temperature range would allow the
new batteries to operate inside the engine compartment, as a
drop-in replacement for conventional lead-acid starter
batteries. Perhaps the most promising application for these
batteries would be in backup power systems in places with an
unreliable grid. Lead acid batteries charge too slowly to be
recharged from the grid in such places, and so must be
supplemented with diesel generators. Lithium-ion's
faster charging rate might allow some installations to dispense
with a generator entirely, and would save others considerably in
fuel costs. More
here.
June 13: A123 Systems (AONE) Soars For No Rational Reason
JS: A123 Systems
(NASD:AONE) shot up more than 50 percent after announcing it
had developed an improved lithium-ion cell that can cut costs of
electric cars.
While I've always been a big supporter of this company (wishing
them the best), as an investor, I can't help but to wonder what
happened yesterday.
Just a couple of months ago, the company began replacing defective
battery packs at a cost of $51.6 million. This helped the company
report a record loss of $125 million for Q1, 2012. The company
even had to issue a “going concern” statement.
Last month, when shares closed below $0.90 the company had long-term debt of $161 million compared to a market valuation of $129.3 million. To put that in perspective, when the company went public, it debuted at $13.50.
Now don't get me wrong. The company's announcement of its
technological breakthrough should not go unnoticed. But neither
should the fact that this company is still dealing with $51
million in battery replacements, foreign competitors that continue
to maintain a significant manufacturing cost advantage, and of
course, bankruptcy concerns. I'm not certain the latter will
happen, but I'm definitely not willing to roll the dice on that
either.
Sure, technological breakthroughs are great. They're important,
and they've been produced by plenty of other companies that no
longer exist today. That's the reality. Personally, I do hope A123
comes out on top when all is said and done. But it's going to be a
long, tough ride. And I just don't see any rational justification
for a 50% pop on an announcement of a technological breakthrough
from a company that's barely treading water right now.
TK: Rockwool
International (COP:ROCK-B, OTC:RKWBF)
announced plans for its first US manufacturing facility. The
Danish insulation company previously served the whole North
American market from two facilities in Canada. The new US
facility will be built in Marshall County, Mississippi, and was
prompted by continued double-digit growth in North America and
demand for Rockwool's products and interest from "leading
do-it-yourself chains." North America accounted for 8%
of Rockwool's sales in 2011, and the share is expected to increase
in coming years.
June 14: U.S. Solar Industry Posts Solid Q1 With 506 MW Installed
TK: At this pace, installations in 2012 should easily surpass last
year's installations, despite the expiry of the 1603 tax grants
and tariffs on low-cost Chinese panels. More
here.
June 15: Global Wind Day
TK: Today more than 200 events in 40 countries will be held to
build pressure on world leaders to commit to double the share of
renewable energy by 2030 at next week's Rio+20 Summit.
Next Week: REFF-Wall St and Peak Oil Symposium
TK: I'll be in NYC early next week to attend the Renewable Energy Finance Forum - Wall Street and Oil Supply & Demand: Studying the Wildcards. Unfortunately, I won't be able to attend all of both, since they overlap.DISCLOSURES:
TK: Long RKWBF
JS: No positions.
Jeff Siegel is Editor of Energy and Capital.
Tom Konrad Ph.D. CFA is
Editor of AltEnergyStocks.com,
and a blogger on Forbes.com.
Two Perspectives on A123, Solar's Strong Showing in Q1: The Week In Cleantech: 6-15-2012 was posted on AltEnergyStocks.com.
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