They'll Put the Cellulose in Cellulosic Ethanol
One of the keys to staying ahead of the game in money management is lateral
thinking. I start with the trend, and then try to think of industries or
companies that might benefit, but are not on everyone else's radar. With
Peak Oil-driven demand for biofuels, regular readers know that I consider the
people who produce the feedstock (farmers, and industries whose waste can fairly
easily be converted into biofuel) to be the most certain winners. 
One direction this chain of logic has taken me is to forestry companies. I'm far from a forestry analyst, so I decided to take small stakes in a few of the more sustainable forestry companies. When it comes to wood products, the gold (or is it green?) standard for sustainable certification is the Forest Stewardship Council's. Do not be fooled by watered down industry sponsored pretenders like the Sustainable Forestry Initiative. Last year, to find sustainable companies, I went to the FSC's list of certified forests, and looked for large numbers that were owned by public companies.
The companies I came up with: Domtar (NYSE:UFS), Tembec (TMBAF.PK), Cascades, Inc. (CADNF.PK), and Potlach (NYSE: PCH). I later added Catalyst Paper (CTLUF.PK) to my list when reading a news story that, as an aside, mentioned them as a sustainable leader in the Canadian wood and paper industry.
Scientific? Not at all. I consider my investments in sustainable forestry as a diversification with an interesting alternative energy long term upside. Needless to say, my investments in each company are small. The ones that didn't make it into the Energy Tech Stocks Interview were ones that had slipped my mind. I did not end up purchasing them due to the price movements at the time (i.e. my other limit orders executed first.)
I'd love to see comments from readers who know more about sustainable forestry than I do... I'm sure that there are some stand-out forest stewards that I missed when I put together this little diversification. I personally expect the subprime mess to lead to a prolonged housing slump, at which time even further depressed forestry companies may be excellent bargains... if they are not bankrupt.
DISCLOSURE: Tom Konrad and/or his clients have positions in the following companies mentioned here: UFS, PCH, CTLUF.
DISCLAIMER: The information and trades provided here are for informational purposes only and are not a solicitation to buy or sell any of these securities. Investing involves substantial risk and you should evaluate your own risk levels before you make any investment. Past results are not an indication of future performance. Please take the time to read the full disclaimer here.














Comments
Is anyone actually converting trees into biofuel, or planning to do so?
Posted by: Reggie Gleesen | August 30, 2007 08:31 AM
You might enjoy this article by Freeman Dyson, in which he discusses how forest management and logging could potentially completely solve the carbon problem, if it is one.
Posted by: Matt | August 30, 2007 12:21 PM
Cellulosic from trees is still in the pilot stage, but here's a company that's trying:
http://www.rangefuels.com/range_fuels_to_build_first_wood_cellulosic_ethanol_plant_in_georgia
Posted by: Tom Konrad | August 30, 2007 02:28 PM